Track record
Closed trades, wins and losses
Equal-weight results for every published pick we have closed.
Each closed trade counts once — no survivorship tape, no hiding losers.
Last 90 days
Closed picks
21
Total PnL
+371.88%
Win %
95.24%
Avg PnL
+17.71%
Avg vs S&P
+15.79%
Avg hold
12.8d
Equal-weight: each closed pick contributes the same weight.
Total PnL is the sum of per-pick % returns; Win = final PnL above flat.
vs S&P uses frozen SPY marks at entry and close when available.
By category
Last 90 days, equal-weight
| Category |
n |
Total PnL |
Win % |
Avg PnL |
vs S&P |
Avg hold |
|
Insider
|
1 |
+17.47% |
100.00% |
+17.47% |
+16.19% |
23d |
|
Catalyst
|
4 |
+131.94% |
100.00% |
+32.99% |
+29.72% |
10d |
|
Earnings
|
3 |
+41.77% |
100.00% |
+13.92% |
+11.34% |
4d |
|
Contrarian
|
2 |
-31.40% |
50.00% |
-15.70% |
-18.70% |
25.5d |
|
Macro
|
2 |
+37.53% |
100.00% |
+18.76% |
+18.81% |
7.5d |
|
Alpha
|
9 |
+174.57% |
100.00% |
+19.40% |
+18.04% |
14.2d |
Closed trades
Last 90 days — winners and losers
| Ticker |
Category |
PnL |
Held |
Closed |
|
AMPX
|
Alpha
|
+15.00% |
22d |
Aug 14, 2026 |
|
CAPR
|
Catalyst
|
+97.20% |
10d |
Aug 14, 2026 |
|
TTMI
|
Earnings
|
+18.71% |
9d |
Aug 13, 2026 |
|
QS
|
Alpha
|
+15.86% |
5d |
Aug 12, 2026 |
|
BSX
|
Contrarian
|
+14.33% |
26d |
Aug 11, 2026 |
|
ENVX
|
Alpha
|
+15.97% |
5d |
Aug 7, 2026 |
|
UWMC
|
Contrarian
|
-45.73% |
25d |
Aug 6, 2026 |
|
VSH
|
Earnings
|
+12.60% |
2d |
Aug 4, 2026 |
|
AMRC
|
Alpha
|
+32.37% |
2d |
Aug 4, 2026 |
|
KTOS
|
Catalyst
|
+10.11% |
16d |
Aug 4, 2026 |
|
SMR
|
Catalyst
|
+13.33% |
6d |
Aug 4, 2026 |
|
AXTI
|
Macro
|
+16.41% |
1d |
Aug 3, 2026 |
|
HLNE
|
Insider
|
+17.47% |
23d |
Aug 3, 2026 |
|
HII
|
Alpha
|
+12.72% |
24d |
Jul 30, 2026 |
|
MIAX
|
Alpha
|
+22.78% |
23d |
Jul 28, 2026 |
|
INTU
|
Alpha
|
+20.23% |
22d |
Jul 27, 2026 |
|
CTSH
|
Alpha
|
+22.28% |
20d |
Jul 27, 2026 |
|
BAH
|
Macro
|
+21.12% |
14d |
Jul 24, 2026 |
|
CRCL
|
Earnings
|
+10.45% |
1d |
Jul 20, 2026 |
|
ACHR
|
Alpha
|
+17.36% |
5d |
Jul 20, 2026 |
|
WU
|
Catalyst
|
+11.30% |
8d |
Jul 7, 2026 |
How these stats are computed
- Equal-weight: every closed pick counts once in averages — no position sizing.
- Win %: share of closed picks with final PnL above flat (~0%).
- Avg PnL: mean percent return from entry to frozen close price.
- vs S&P: pick return minus SPY return over the same hold, when both marks exist.
- Hold: trading days from publish to close (weekdays).
The home-page tape highlights recent leaders for brevity; this page is the full book.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. See our
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