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Universal Technical Institute Inc

Insider Real Estate Small cap 9/1/26 (1mo ago) HOLD

Hold2-4 weeks

Entry$20.84Now$20.64PnL-0.98%

HOLD

80%

confidence

Angle A director put $226K of personal capital to work near the washout after a guidance-reset selloff.

Universal Technical Institute was hit after Q3 despite revenue up 7.2% YoY, average students up 5.8%, and new starts up 10.9%, with the damage driven by lowered FY26 EBITDA and FCF guidance [#6, #7]. The why-now hook is a recent open-market insider buy: Robert Thomas DeVincenzi bought 8,000 shares for roughly $226K with no 10b5-1 plan, echoing a prior buy before a large rally [#8, #11]. Valuation support adds a second leg, with fair value cited at $39 versus a $22 market price and a 42% discount [#4].

Catalyst The Form 4 insider buy and stabilization after the Q3 guidance reset can force a short-horizon reappraisal into the next operating update.

Insider signal [INSIDER] Robert Thomas DeVincenzi bought 8,000 shares for about $226K around Aug. 10, with no 10b5-1 plan cited.

HOLD AI Status: Price sits above the 20-day average with short-term momentum and volume improving, while longer trend and weekly structure still argue for a careful hold on the rebound.

Close is about 4% above EMA20 at 20.48 with MACD above signal and histogram at 0.44, aligning with stabilization after the guidance-driven selloff that drew director open-market buying. Bollinger %B near 0.86 shows price in the upper part of the band without a squeeze, and stochastics at %K 71 support near-term strength even as %D leads. Weekly MACD histogram is still negative at -1.41 but rising, with RSI 35.5 below its smoothed line and price under the 50-week average, which fits a washout base rather than a confirmed uptrend; volume at 1.11x average with rising OBV adds constructive participation despite lower highs on the swing structure and a bearish DMI gap under strong ADX.

Triangulation

Indicators as of Oct 15, 2026 12:15 PM PT

Trend	CAUTION	EMA20<SMA50<SMA200 · ADX 30.5 strong · +0.9% vs EMA20 · close>EMA20 · -DI > +DI
Momentum	HOLD	RSI 47.2 · RSIw 35.9 · hist 0.40 · MACD>signal
Stochastics	HOLD	%K/71 · %D/81
Bollinger	HOLD	%B 0.68 · BW 16.6% · ATR 5.0%
Weekly	WATCHING	RSIw 35.5 · RSI<RSI-SMA · hist -1.41 · hist rising · close<SMA50
Price action	WATCHING	20d 62% · 52w 7% · lower highs (3)
Volume	HOLD	1.11x avg · OBV ↑
Position	HOLD	PnL -1.15% · peak +7.75% · dd -13.39% · 32d held

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$UTI Universal Technical Institute Inc

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