Alpha
Technology
Mid cap
9/9/26 (1mo ago)
closed Oct 9, 2026
Entry$88.31Close$101.88PnL+15.37%
Angle JFrog’s cloud mix and raised outlook give the rebound a business-quality hook beyond a simple oversold bounce.
JFrog’s reversal has support from a stronger operating narrative: Q2 revenue rose 29% to $163.8M, cloud revenue surged 53%, and FY2026 revenue guidance was lifted to $648M-$652M with cloud growth guided to 41%-43% [
#26,
#27]. Additional checks frame the thesis around rising cloud-hosted SaaS contribution, software-supply-chain relevance, retention, and cash conversion, while the stock has also regained key moving averages and broken out of a base [
#7,
#34,
#41].
Catalyst The re-rating window is the next several weeks of follow-through after raised guidance, software-sector strength, and confirmation that cloud adoption is still compounding.
AI Status: JFrog Ltd. closed with a realized gain of 15.37% after the rebound from entry aligned with stronger cloud growth and raised outlook.
Vishay Precision Group Inc.
Alpha
Technology
Small cap
8/26/26 (1mo ago)
closed Oct 1, 2026
Entry$64.40Close$73.94PnL+14.81%
Angle Record orders and humanoid robotics nominations make the earnings gap look more like a reset than a thesis break.
VPG was punished for a large Q2 EPS miss and margin pressure, but orders reached about $95.5M-$96M with a 1.14 book-to-bill, suggesting demand did not collapse [
#2,
#13,
#14]. The hidden-gem case rests on AI, semiconductor, aerospace, defense, and humanoid robotics exposure, including a vendor nomination from its initial humanoid robotics customer and commentary that an ERP-driven shipment delay moved invoices rather than erased demand [
#21,
#30,
#47].
Catalyst Re-rating window is the next 3-5 weeks as investors reassess whether Q2 margin and ERP issues were temporary against strong bookings and robotics demand.
AI Status: VPG closed with a +14.81% realized gain after twenty-six sessions, matching peak profit as price held near recent highs.
Alpha
Industrials
Mid cap
8/27/26 (1mo ago)
closed Sep 25, 2026
Entry$78.58Close$88.45PnL+12.55%
Angle BASX demand and a $2B backlog make the 51% drawdown look more like a margin-reset washout than a broken growth story.
AAON’s stock sold off after a blowout Q2 because gross-margin guidance fell to 25-26%, but the growth engine remains intact: revenue rose about 101%, EPS beat, backlog approached $2B, and FY26 sales guidance moved to 55-60% growth [
#3,
#16,
#31]. The setup is now less about chasing the print and more about mean reversion from a deep valuation reset, with shares cited near a decade-low forward P/S and roughly 51% below all-time highs despite data-center cooling demand through BASX [
#7,
#16,
#30].
Catalyst A near-term re-rate can come as investors separate temporary ramp, outsourcing, and freight margin pressure from sustained AI cooling demand and backlog conversion.
AI Status: AAON closed with a +12.55% gain after 21 sessions as the post-earnings rebound faded before the longer downtrend fully reversed.
Alpha
Technology
Large cap
9/2/26 (1mo ago)
closed Sep 21, 2026
Entry$207.76Close$247.93PnL+19.33%
Angle Google's warrant math reframes the selloff as a custom-silicon duration mismatch, not a broken AI thesis.
Marvell sold off after a record quarter because the beat-and-raise did not clear a very high bar and the Google payoff was viewed as pushed out, not absent [
#8,
#9,
#36]. The structural case is still intact: next-quarter revenue was guided $110M above consensus, custom silicon accelerates in the second half, and Google's warrant vests across up to $120B of Custom Products revenue [
#10,
#71].
Catalyst The re-rate depends on second-half custom silicon acceleration and investors reassessing the Google-linked revenue path after the post-earnings reset.
AI Status: Marvell closed with a +19.33% gain after thirteen sessions as the custom-silicon thesis held through the post-earnings reset.
Alpha
Health Care
Mid cap
9/15/26 (1mo ago)
closed Sep 18, 2026
Entry$25.50Close$25.74PnL+0.96%
Angle A $400M financing cleared after the data washout, leaving the registrational path as the rebound hook.
TYRA sold off hard after initial SURF302 data, but the underlying readout still showed a 79% overall response rate with manageable safety and the company is moving dabogratinib toward registrational development [
#27,
#36]. Today’s 14% rebound came alongside pricing of a $400M offering, which can reset the financing overhang after the post-data drawdown rather than leave dilution risk unresolved [
#3,
#10].
Catalyst Near-term re-rating depends on investors reassessing dabogratinib’s registrational path after the offering is absorbed.
AI Status: TYRA closed after three days with a +0.96% realized gain as the post-offering rebound faded before registrational-path rerating took hold.
Alpha
Technology
Large cap
7/31/26 (2mo ago)
closed Sep 8, 2026
Entry$149.07Close$176.98PnL+18.73%
Angle Automotive growth is absorbing the Apple overhang faster than the post-earnings selloff implies.
The stock sold off after a light Q4 EPS guide, but the actual miss was tiny while revenue beat estimates and automotive revenue surged 61% YoY [
#19,
#49]. The stronger bull case is that Qualcomm’s diversification is still intact: management is targeting $40B of non-handset revenue, automotive has delivered 23 straight quarters of double-digit growth, and AI/edge opportunities are broadening beyond smartphones [
#11,
#50].
Catalyst Re-rating window runs into the September 1 chip price increases and the next evidence of margin recovery in Q4 guidance execution.
AI Status: QCOM closed with an 18.73% gain after a 27-day run that peaked near 22.91% before our exit signal ended the trade.
Alpha
Finance
Mid cap
8/26/26 (1mo ago)
closed Sep 8, 2026
Entry$15.84Close$18.49PnL+16.77%
Angle Black Pearl’s accelerated AWS delivery turns an ugly mining-quarter miss into proof the HPC pivot is starting to monetize.
Cipher sold off after a messy Q2, but the cleaner read-through is that the legacy mining P&L masked accelerating hyperscale execution: Black Pearl was amended to pull delivery forward, initial data halls were delivered in August, and the AWS-linked campus is tied to a 15-year $5.5B lease structure [
#4,
#6]. The bear case centers on the EPS and revenue miss, while the long case is that Cipher is moving from Bitcoin mining volatility toward contracted AI/HPC infrastructure with first rent now starting and another 900MW Texas site added to the roadmap [
#19,
#24,
#13].
Catalyst Execution updates over the next several weeks on Black Pearl rent commencement, delivery milestones, and HPC contract monetization can re-rate the post-earnings discount.
AI Status: Cipher closed with a +16.77% gain in nine sessions as the post-earnings HPC pivot recovery played out before our exit signal.
Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.
Alpha
Industrials
Small cap
7/10/26 (3mo ago)
closed Sep 8, 2026
Entry$4.40Close$4.45PnL+1.02%
Angle AI power demand keeps the storage thesis alive while the stock tests a double-bottom zone after a deep washout.
EOSE has been beaten down and unloved, but the long-term energy-storage case tied to AI power demand is still being defended as intact [
#3]. The same setup cites buying near $4.74 around a potential double bottom, while recent insider-selling fears are framed as scheduled RSU vesting and tax withholding rather than discretionary dumping [
#1,
#3].
Catalyst A tactical re-rate can come as the market separates routine equity-compensation filings from the intact AI-power storage thesis over the next several weeks.
AI Status: EOSE closed for a modest +1.02% gain after 42 days, surrendering most of a +6.48% peak as the broader downtrend held.
Amprius Technologies Inc.
Alpha
Industrials
Small cap
7/15/26 (3mo ago)
closed Aug 14, 2026
Entry$11.34Close$13.04PnL+15.00%
Angle Robotics and drones need lighter batteries, and Amprius is framed as the scarce power-layer supplier into that bottleneck.
Amprius has a structural bounce case because the core debate is shifting from generic battery exposure to whether its high-density cells become essential for drones, humanoid robots, defense use cases, and eVTOL platforms [
#3,
#9,
#11,
#15]. The growth story is also being underwritten by company-specific operating leverage: management is described as using a flexible asset-light production model, while 2026 revenue guidance is cited at at least $130M, or 70%+ YoY growth [
#5,
#14,
#15].
Catalyst A re-rating can come as investors underwrite the 2026 revenue ramp and physical-autonomy battery demand over the next several weeks.
AI Status: Amprius closed at +15.00% after 22 trading days, locking in gains as the high-density battery thesis matured before our exit signal.
Alpha
Technology
Mid cap
8/5/26 (2mo ago)
closed Aug 12, 2026
Entry$5.55Close$6.43PnL+15.86%
Angle Honda validation plus 90% Eagle readiness make the post-earnings washout look like a commercialization reset.
QuantumScape sold off after Q2 even though the loss beat, expenses fell, billings rose, CapEx guidance was lowered, Eagle Line kept running, and Honda remained engaged [
#3]. The stronger alpha case is that the story is broadening beyond Volkswagen: Eagle readiness is near 90%, defense cells have begun shipping, and AI data-center and defense applications add new commercialization paths [
#6,
#15]. The PowerCo amendment remains the overhang, but several updates argue it is a milestone-payment restructuring rather than a broken partnership [
#2,
#26].
Catalyst Further Eagle Line readiness/yield disclosures, defense shipment progress, and any supply or DoD contract update are the 2-5 week re-rating window.
AI Status: QuantumScape closed for a +15.86% gain in five days after the post-earnings rebound validated the commercialization reset thesis until our exit signal.
Alpha
Industrials
Small cap
7/31/26 (2mo ago)
closed Aug 7, 2026
Entry$4.07Close$4.72PnL+15.97%
Angle An ex-Apple product-ops leader is taking over the manufacturing ramp just as the stock rebounds from a washout.
Enovix now has a clearer execution reset: Dr. Michael Vyvoda, formerly Apple’s Director of Product Operations for Audio Products, was appointed COO to lead the global manufacturing ramp [
#1,
#9]. The structural case is not just smartphones; the South Korea defense battery business is already paying bills and has an emerging drone growth market, while Q1 revenue grew 49% YoY to $7.6M and exceeded guidance [
#4,
#9].
Catalyst Re-rating depends on evidence that the new COO can translate the manufacturing ramp into stronger commercial rollout and operating updates over the next 1-2 months.
AI Status: ENVX closed with a +15.97% gain in five sessions as the COO-led manufacturing ramp thesis played through a sharp rebound.
Alpha
Consumer Discretionary
Small cap
7/31/26 (2mo ago)
closed Aug 4, 2026
Entry$21.27Close$28.16PnL+32.37%
Angle Data-center infrastructure expertise just joined the board as AMRC’s JV-backed growth runway gets re-priced.
Ameresco’s reversal has a concrete fundamental hook: Brian Cox, founder and former CEO of STACK Infrastructure, has joined the board, adding relevant infrastructure expertise at a washed-out point for the stock [
#1]. The broader growth case is still alive, with analysts framing 61% upside, Q1 revenue up 14%, and a $400M HASI biofuels JV supporting the runway [
#2].
Catalyst A board-level infrastructure upgrade plus continued analyst support can drive a 1-6 week re-rate as investors revisit the biofuels and clean-infrastructure growth case.
AI Status: Ameresco closed with a +32.4% gain in two sessions after our exit signal captured most of a sharp reversal rally.
Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc.
Alpha
Industrials
Large cap
6/26/26 (3mo ago)
closed Jul 30, 2026
Entry$281.99Close$317.86PnL+12.72%
Angle Cheapest defense prime at ~15x 2027 EPS vs RTX 24x and GD 19x — with a $54B backlog the tape is pricing as fiction.
Down 21% over six months on almost entirely company-specific selling, HII now trades at ~15x 2027 earnings versus RTX at 24x and GD at 19x while sitting on a $54B backlog and a Moderate Buy consensus [
#4,
#5]. A fresh $418M five-year Navy IDIQ award for carrier and amphibious elevator maintenance through 2031 underscores that the backlog is real and recurring, not impaired [
#1,
#2,
#11]. With the drawdown company-specific and the order book intact, the multiple gap to peers is the mispricing the reversal is starting to close.
Catalyst Backlog conversion and analyst re-rating toward defense-prime peer multiples as 2027 earnings power comes into view.
AI Status: HII closed at +12.72% after the defense-prime discount thesis played out and our exit signal ended the pick at peak gains.
Miami International Holdings Inc.
Alpha
Finance
Mid cap
6/25/26 (3mo ago)
closed Jul 28, 2026
Entry$36.74Close$45.11PnL+22.78%
Angle A low-latency exchange operator with 40% net revenue growth and a debt-free balance sheet is being treated like insider-selling noise.
The MIAX bull case is structural: tweets highlight a clearing-house model that can generate new products and incentivize liquidity [
#3]. Another thesis post argues the market is missing a compounder with 40% YoY net revenue growth, debt cleared, and $550M cash while focusing on temporary insider selling [
#41].
Catalyst Re-rating can come as investors look past post-listing insider-selling concerns and underwrite MIAX’s product-growth runway.
AI Status: MIAX closed with a +22.78% gain after our exit signal ended the trade near its peak.
Alpha
Technology
Mega cap
6/25/26 (3mo ago)
closed Jul 27, 2026
Entry$255.07Close$306.68PnL+20.23%
Angle AI tax-prep fears have compressed Intuit to crisis-like multiples despite a moat that bulls say has not moved.
Tweets frame Intuit as a quality compounder washed out by AI and TurboTax-growth fears, not a broken franchise: bulls cite 50M+ sticky tax and small-business customers, 30-year revenue consistency, and a dominant software/fintech footprint [
#19,
#23,
#24]. The why-now is valuation plus capital return, with posts citing low earnings/FCF multiples and an $8B buyback authorization that could retire about 11% of shares [
#1,
#12,
#13].
Catalyst The trade should re-rate as AI-displacement fears stabilize and buyback/quality-compounder arguments regain investor attention over the next several weeks.
AI Status: Intuit closed at +20.23% after a 32-day run that peaked near +21% and gave back less than 1% from the high.
Cognizant Technology Solutions
Alpha
Technology
Large cap
6/29/26 (3mo ago)
closed Jul 27, 2026
Entry$38.74Close$47.37PnL+22.28%
Angle A 2026 buyback equal to about 10.5% of market cap gives CTSH a concrete EPS lever as momentum turns.
CTSH has a tweet-backed value and capital-return setup: one post estimates 2026 repurchases at about $2B, or 10.5% of market cap, implying meaningful EPS accretion even before growth or M&A [
#1]. The valuation case is reinforced by comments that CTSH trades around 9x earnings versus peers near 31x and screens at a much lower forward PEG under a 6% sales-growth base case with buybacks and dividends [
#8,
#9]. A device-demand rebound narrative adds a sector tailwind for the tactical bounce window [
#3].
Catalyst The re-rating window is 2026 buyback execution alongside renewed evidence that device-demand recovery can support IT-services growth.
AI Status: CTSH closed for a 22.3% realized gain after the buyback-and-value thesis largely played out over a 28-day hold.
Alpha
Industrials
Mid cap
7/13/26 (3mo ago)
closed Jul 20, 2026
Entry$4.55Close$5.34PnL+17.36%
Angle ACHR's RSI reclaimed 30 and is holding near 39, showing dip buyers defended the first reversal attempt.
ACHR's washout looks like it is giving way to a tradeable reversal, with RSI back above the key 30 line and price stabilizing around $4.73. That shift matters because the stock does not need a full sentiment reset to work from here; it needs follow-through that confirms buyers are stepping in before momentum gets crowded again.
Catalyst Watch for a close above the recent rebound range to confirm the RSI cross-up is turning into sustained upside momentum.
AI Status: ACHR closed with a +17.36% gain after the reversal thesis played out in just over a week.