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Open picks

Avg PnL-1.94%Avg vs S&P-3.74%(3 picks)
GFS OPEN FREE PICK Chart
GlobalFoundries Inc.
Earnings Technology Large cap 8/4/26 (26d ago) HOLD
Hold2-5 weeks
Entry$52.58Now$44.74PnL-14.91%
HOLD
74%
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Angle Aug. 5 earnings turn the washout into a photonics-guidance bet, with CHIPS funding and AI capex as the lever.

GlobalFoundries has a near-term re-rate window into Aug. 5 earnings, where the bull case is a significant guidance raise tied to a photonics supercycle and sector recovery [#15]. The setup is reinforced by a $300M CHIPS R&D award for silicon photonics, positive EPS-growth expectations into the print, and AI datacenter exposure through its ON Semiconductor GaN partnership [#16, #10]. Silicon photonics economics also support the broader mispricing argument, with 1.6T architectures described as lower cost and higher margin while $GFS is one of the foundries running the layer at scale [#25].
Catalyst Aug. 5 earnings and guidance are the immediate re-rating window, with photonics awards and AI datacenter demand as the follow-through triggers.
HOLD AI Status: Oversold stochastics and Bollinger %B near the lower band hint at stabilization while price stays below EMA20 in a mixed trend ahead of the photonics thesis.
AA OPEN FREE PICK Chart
Alcoa Corporation
Earnings Industrials Large cap 7/7/26 (1mo ago) HOLD
Hold3-8 weeks
Entry$49.01Now$50.35PnL+2.72%
HOLD
70%
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Angle July 16 earnings arrive after a 25% reset, with EPS estimates higher and aluminum prices elevated all quarter.

Alcoa sold off on the South32 acquisition, but the next earnings print is only days away and the stock is down 25% since last earnings while estimated quarterly earnings are 50% higher [#16]. Elevated aluminum prices through the quarter and a deal described as immediately accretive to EPS and free cash flow give the rebound a fundamental path beyond a simple technical bounce [#15, #18]. JPMorgan's $70 target also leaves material upside if the market gets comfortable with the acquisition economics [#4, #9].
Catalyst July 16 earnings are the re-rating window, with investors looking for confirmation that aluminum pricing and the South32 deal support EPS and free cash flow.
HOLD AI Status: AA holds above its 20-day average in choppy action, with mid-band Bollinger positioning and recovering stochastics supporting the aluminum-pricing and South32 deal thesis.
ORCL OPEN FREE PICK Chart
Oracle Corporation
Earnings Technology Mega cap 7/7/26 (1mo ago) HOLD
Hold1-2 months
Entry$141.60Now$150.61PnL+6.36%
HOLD
70%
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Angle OCI upside is the cleaner why-now: a 43% drawdown meets a $2.2B cloud revenue surprise setup.

Oracle has washed out hard, falling from $248 to roughly $142 since June 1 while the AI backlog/RPO narrative remains central to the bull case [#2]. The near-term re-rate hook is earnings: Piper Sandler defended the stock ahead of the print and flagged roughly $2.2B of potential OCI revenue upside, while Barron's noted the rebound could snap Oracle's longest losing streak since 2021 [#13, #22, #34]. Valuation support adds a floor, with GF Value at $184.27 and long-term AI/cloud growth expectations still intact [#14].
Catalyst The setup resolves into the next earnings window, where OCI revenue upside can validate the AI infrastructure rebound.
HOLD AI Status: ORCL holds above its 20-day average with improving momentum and volume as the OCI earnings setup remains intact.

Closed (Last 90 Days)

Total PnL+41.77%Avg PnL+13.92%Avg vs S&P+11.34%Win %100.00%Avg days held4d(3 picks)
TTMI CLOSED FREE PICK Chart
TTM Technologies Inc.
Earnings Technology Mid cap 7/31/26 (1mo ago) closed Aug 13, 2026
Held9 days
Entry$118.69Close$140.90PnL+18.71%
74%
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Angle Q2 EPS growth is still on deck after a 30% reset, with AI-server PCB demand and A&D backlog intact.

TTMI has already absorbed a sharp valuation reset, falling roughly 30% from the prior week’s highs while the AI-server PCB story, $1.6B aerospace-defense backlog, and Penang yield progress remain intact [#1]. The Q2 preview still flags consensus EPS growth and exposure to high-layer-count PCB/RF demand tied to AI-server, networking, and aerospace-defense markets [#2]. Large bullish call flow into the rebound window adds confirmation that buyers are positioning for a pre/post-earnings re-rate rather than treating the washout as broken momentum [#5, #7].
Catalyst The Q2 earnings window and Aug. 21 call-expiration positioning are the near-term re-rating setup.
AI Status: TTMI closed for a +18.71% gain after a nine-day rebound from the valuation reset as our exit signal ended the hold.
VSH CLOSED FREE PICK Chart
Vishay Intertechnology Inc.
Earnings Technology Mid cap 7/31/26 (1mo ago) closed Aug 4, 2026
Held2 days
Entry$34.64Close$39.01PnL+12.60%
72%
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Angle August 5 earnings give VSH a near-term re-rate window after Q1 demand recovery and semi washout positioning.

VSH has a near-term earnings setup with the next print scheduled for 08/05 after a semiconductor washout, and traders are looking at 08/21 upside calls as the rebound window [#3]. The setup is supported by Q1 revenue up 17% YoY to $839M, margin expansion to 21%, and demand recovery [#6], plus expectations that names like VSH could follow the recent semiconductor earnings-beat pattern [#5].
Catalyst The August 5 earnings report is the re-rating event, with the trade expected to resolve into the print and immediate post-report reaction.
AI Status: VSH closed with a 12.60% gain in two trading days, capturing most of the rebound ahead of the August 5 earnings catalyst.
CRCL CLOSED FREE PICK Chart
Circle Internet Group Inc.
Earnings Finance Large cap 7/17/26 (1mo ago) closed Jul 20, 2026
Held1 day
Entry$60.46Close$66.78PnL+10.45%
77%
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Angle August earnings now sit behind record $1.21T June volume and 67% share after a 40% pullback into support.

Circle has a near-term earnings re-rate setup: Q2 is due in roughly three weeks, the prior report beat and produced a 20% stock reaction, and recent data cited record $1.21T June volume with 67% share [#4, #15]. The selloff is being framed as over-discounting take-rate compression while assigning too little value to Circle's regulatory and liquidity advantages after OCC approval [#17, #20].
Catalyst Q2 earnings in August are the re-rating window, with June volume/share data setting up the surprise case.
AI Status: CRCL closed with a 10.45% gain in 3.2 days as our exit signal locked in the earnings-rebound bounce tied to record stablecoin volume.

Open picks

Avg PnL-1.94%Avg vs S&P-3.74%(3 picks)
Ticker Name Sector Category Status Hold Conf. Entry Current PnL Published
GFS GlobalFoundries Inc. Technology Earnings HOLD 2-5 weeks 74% $52.58 $44.74 -14.91% 26d ago
AA Alcoa Corporation Industrials Earnings HOLD 3-8 weeks 70% $49.01 $50.35 +2.72% 1mo ago
ORCL Oracle Corporation Technology Earnings HOLD 1-2 months 70% $141.60 $150.61 +6.36% 1mo ago

Closed (Last 90 Days)

Total PnL+41.77%Avg PnL+13.92%Avg vs S&P+11.34%Win %100.00%Avg days held4d(3 picks)
Ticker Name Sector Category Status Held Conf. Entry Close PnL Closed
TTMI TTM Technologies Inc. Technology Earnings Closed 9 days 74% $118.69 $140.90 +18.71% 17d ago
VSH Vishay Intertechnology Inc. Technology Earnings Closed 2 days 72% $34.64 $39.01 +12.60% 26d ago
CRCL Circle Internet Group Inc. Finance Earnings Closed 1 day 77% $60.46 $66.78 +10.45% 1mo ago